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How to deal with hard to survey populations

Some populations are hard to survey because they are hard to find, others because they are hard to sample and still others because they are hard to persuade to participate in surveys. Some are simply hard to interview. Examples of hard-to-survey populations include migrants, immigrants, homeless people, persons with intellectual difficulties, the visually impaired, drug users, political extremists, sex workers and people in difficult settings such as war zones or homeless shelters.

By Kevin Gray, president of Cannon Gray, a marketing science and analytics consultancy.

How market research can help NGOs to measure and engage the audience

There were several issues that supported the need for research by Venezuela’s second most important TV channel in terms of rating. With this article StatMark explains how market research can help NGOs to measure and engage the audience.

WHY THE RESEARCH WAS DONE?

  • The conventional methods applied for measuring audience levels generated, from the station’s point of view, significant doubts regarding reported national TV audience levels. If one takes into consideration current socio-economic conditions, entailing a very restrictive economy in combination with high crime levels, large parts of the population are forced to restrict outdoor entertainment to a minimum. It was therefore thought that indoor entertainment, TV being one of its key sources, should appear more prominently among media tracking studies. The research indeed proved audience levels to be significantly above previously reported available data, i.e. people stayed home much more and more people were watching TV than previously supposed.
  • Secondly, but by no means less important, is the socio-political context to which Venezuelan society has been subjected over the past 17 years in which the media sector, by its very nature, has systematically become a key target of surveillance, especially when editorial positions expose the state’s failings to properly address societal issues. Across time, this has led to neutralization of media not aligned to the regime’s line of thought, either by unfriendly takeovers (as has been the case for numerous radio stations and key print media), and more significantly, the closing of what was up to 2007, the country’s oldest and most influential private TV station.
  • As of 2013, conditions have become more extreme, social tensions have led to increasingly repressive State actions, with further news curtailment, among other issues now generally known through the world press. Stringent regulation on news broadcasts precluded the media to provide timely and objective information in extreme situations. Under the circumstances, Social Media, among which Twitter held a prominent position, became the most available source of information. Twitter also gathered audience’s dissatisfaction towards conventional media on a whole, as in many cases TV and to a lesser extent all other conventional media, were wrongly perceived as aligned with the government. In response to audience pressure, our client’s started to re-tweet the news gathered by the audience, which somewhat contributed to stem the “bad press” potentially associated to our client’s channel.

THE LEARNINGS

Twitter, which figures as one of the most used social media within the local context, had been increasingly incorporated by our client’s Station as a means to gauge programming satisfaction and engagement, as well as to measure program content balance among what, until very recently, was described as an ideologically split audience. Prior to the research we conducted, client analyzed Social Media content in house in a non-systematic fashion.

THE RESEARCH

Obviously, one of the key objectives needed to be addressed on behalf of our client was the station’s real position in terms of “hard” metrics (audience levels, share of audience and advertising investment value in terms of rating points). Nevertheless, what the client felt lacking in traditional media tracking studies was the understanding of the “whys” and “hows” of the audience- media interaction, for example with basic questions such as: reasons for viewing a program, reasons for viewing a specific station, other activities being conducted whilst watching TV, among several other.

The research involved the application systematic telephone interviews from 6 am until 10 pm, seven days a week, across 6 main cities, over a two-month period. By applying automatic speech recognition (ASR) with intelligent dialogue user interface, in lieu of conventional CATI, data collection became extremely efficient, thus achieving over 50 thousand interviews per month. Such sample sizes, in themselves being statistically representative of any population, provided the flexibility to incorporate different sets of open ended questions.

Program – specific social media content was gathered in tandem with the survey’s “soft” analytics. Combined findings supported the measurement of audience engagement, involving Cognitive, Emotional and Attitudinal dimensions regarding Program and Station Image and Satisfaction.

IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

For NGO’s, the application of automatic speech recognition (ASR) with intelligent dialogue user interface, in tandem with issue-specific social media content analysis, provides the user with Big Data information support gathered at significantly lower CPI levels. Based on the immediacy of the information required by the user, samples can be adjusted to time sensitive needs. Nevertheless, samples gathered through these methods will be, by definition, significantly more robust than if gathered through conventional means.

The results gathered from open-ended responses at such a large scale, provide answers that are both qualitative and quantitative in nature. If in prior research projects, open-ended responses required prior coding, with the Cognitive Computing approach applied to our project, identification of similarities and differences, as well as quantitative ranking and interpretation of opinions and feelings, was achieved on a massive scale in a very short timeframe.  Massive qualitative opinion processing done this way, becomes, what we termed in our presentation of “quantilative” nature, merging qualitative with quantitative research into one.

As can be ascertained from the challenging context in which our research was conducted, the importance of Social Media content analysis cannot be underestimated, it being the up-to-date, disrupting and disruptive means of communications within a media controlled environment. Nevertheless, there still being a significant population sector which access conventional media with various degrees of engagement, but who not necessarily are intensive Social Media users. This segment also needs to be addressed. Thus, Social Media users’ opinions, whilst representative in themselves, need to be supplemented with other sources of information to confirm whether their opinions are or not in line with those of the overall population.

 

This research showing the added value of market research for our society was conducted by  StatMark, a multidisciplinary team of research consultants, experts on market and opinion Research within Latin America.

How Mobile Phones Gathered Vital Food Security Data in the Democratic Republic of Congo

DataIn 2013, the World Food Programme was faced with a challenge when conflict broke out in the North Kivu region of the Democratic Republic of Congo. They needed updated food security indicator data, but could not collect it via traditional methods. This led them to develop a new way to collect food security data: through mobile survey company GeoPoll, which had the ability to send SMS messages directly to the phones of citizens in North Kivu.

Background

For years, governments and aid organizations have collected data to educate themselves about the needs and preferences of their beneficiaries; information on education, safety, and food security better informs stakeholders on these important matters. But in emerging markets such as those in Sub-Saharan Africa, it can be difficult to collect timely data, especially during a time of crises. Lack of reliable infrastructure combined with security risks can hinder data collection efforts, which means organizations like USAID and the World Food Programme (WFP) need to come up with new ways to access data.

Over the past decade, mobile phone penetration has grown in Sub-Saharan Africa: despite the lack of landline and internet infrastructure, mobile networks have grown. This increased connectivity has led humanitarian organizations to use the mobile phone as a way to communicate with beneficiaries and on-the-ground workers. Mobile connectivity has also opened up an opportunity for collecting data remotely from large populations in hard-to-reach areas, which is what led the WFP’s mVAM unit to work with mobile survey company GeoPoll to develop a methodology that could collect food security data remotely.

Methodology

The WFP had done previous work analyzing food security in North Kivu through face-to-face interviews 2011 and 2012, but in early 2013 conflict in the region dramatically altered the food security situation. WFP chose to partner with GeoPoll to send out mobile surveys because GeoPoll has a large database of mobile subscribers in the DRC, and is able to send messages that are free for respondents. The two organizations worked together to adapt two food security modules for the mobile phone, and sent surveys by SMS in July, August, and September of 2013.

Results showed that demographically, mobile surveys and face-to-face surveys were in line, with a distribution of 69.6% male and 30.4% female for mobile, and 65.2% male to 34.8% female in face-to-face surveys. Mobile results from the Food Consumption Score (FSC) module were consistent over all three months, with an average of 76.5% of respondents having an “acceptable” FCS score, and 8.1% having a “severe” score. However, while there may have been outside factors impacting data, mobile surveys had difficulty in accurately assessing the “borderline” category in between “acceptable” and “severe” scores. The Reduced Coping Strategies Index (rCSI) included only 5 questions, and for this index, results from mobile surveys were not significantly different from face-to-face results, indicating that the mobile surveys were able to accurately calculate rCSI scores.

The impact

These surveys were intended to determine if mobile surveys could be a reliable method for future projects. While there were some differences in the data, mobile surveys accurately demonstrated food security trends and identified the populations most vulnerable to severe food insecurity. There were also significant cost and time differences: costs were $5 per survey for mobile surveys, and $22 per survey for face-to-face. Mobile surveys took 2 weeks for collection of 1,000-2,000 responses, whereas face-to-face surveys took 6 weeks for 2,700 responses, and the mobile survey timeframe has been further reduced in subsequent projects.

Innovative solutions are often most needed in trying situations, but once a method has been tested it can be used over and over again.  Since this project, GeoPoll and the WFP have utilized mobile surveys to gather data throughout Africa, including in West Africa during and after the Ebola outbreak. The possibilities that methods like this open up are endless, and this project demonstrates the usefulness of mobile as a tool in aid, government, and commercial research, either as a stand-alone method or combined with other types of data collection.  When surveys need to span expansive regions or reach large numbers of respondnets, the ease of use, timeliness and cost-effectiveness of mobile surveys is difficult to beat.  Even in smaller projects there is clear potential for mobile surveys: text messages or voice recordings allow for those who are not always home to answer questions whenever they want, and respondents can answer sensitive questions privately. The boom in mobile connectivity in the past years shows no sign of letting up, and this technology allows researchers to transcend traditional barriers of access to collect data more quickly from a larger group of respondents. Although it can be risky to experiment with unknown methods, innovation is desperately needed in many research fields, and as time goes on mobile surveys will continue to demonstrate their immense reach and power.

 

 

 

This research showing the added value of market research for our society was conducted by GeoPoll, a leading mobile surveying platform in Africa and Asia with a database of over 200 million users.

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Helping to Combat Skin Cancer

The everyday market, social and opinion research professionals and agencies are working hand-in-hand with the non-profit sector to maximise the impact of donations and funding on charitable causes throughout the world. ESOMAR Foundation’s Philanthropy programme provides access to inspiring case studies of how the market, social, and opinion research expertise supports concrete projects. You can always contact us if you are interested in securing a partnership with the market, social, and opinion research sector.

LEGALLY BROWN

Using popular culture to overcome dangerous sun exposure behaviour among teens

This paper was first presented at the ESOMAR Global Healthcare event in 2010

AUTHORS

Ainslie Williams
Sofia Khayech

PREFACE

While a serious health issue, getting sunburnt is legal. In fact, it’s probably the least morally wrong of all issues facing teens in Australia today.

This is a case study on how leveraging components of pop culture attractive to teens can not only produce a better research process but solid insights and strategic direction for youth focussed health campaigns.

INTRODUCTION

Have you ever tried to protect a sandcastle against a rising tide? Or swim against a rip in the ocean?
How can you stop something that’s natural? Something that is so a part of an everyday life where the odds are clearly stacked against you because there are bigger forces at play?

There is no denying that as an industry health care research provides great challenges to qualitative researchers. It’s fraught with sensitive and illegal topics but challenges can come from other directions. What about a legal behaviour that is ingrained in Australian society, the results of which form a significant thread in the national identity yet has long term ramifications?

The behaviour is suntanning. The results are tanned skin and the high risk of acquiring skin cancer – something that is almost preventable1) in a country that has one of the highest rates of skin cancer in the world.

   Download a copy of the full report here!

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Charitable Suicide Reduction Programmes

Everyday market, social and opinion research professionals and agencies are working hand-in-hand with the non-profit sector to maximise the impact of donations and funding on charitable causes throughout the world. ESOMAR Foundation’s Philanthropy programme provides access to inspiring case studies of how market, social, and opinion research expertise supports concrete projects. You can always contact us if you are interested in securing a partnership with the market, social, and opinion research sector.

RESEARCHING THE UNRESEARCHABLE

How research helped samaritans in their campaign to reduce suicide

This paper was first presented at the ESOMAR Qualitative event in 2011

AUTHORS

Nick Johnson
Nicola Peckett

INTRODUCTION

The World Health Organisation estimates that around one million people die by suicide every year. In the United Kingdom, 6,000 people take their own lives every year, and 4,000 of them are men.

Of those 6,000, more than 200 kill themselves on the railways. Contrary to popular belief, most do not jump off a platform. In fact, 63% chose to die on what is known as ‘open track’, miles from the nearest station. No one really know their reasons for choosing these locations, perhaps it is to ensure they aren’t talked out of it at the last minute; perhaps also because the trains will be travelling at high speed so death is more guaranteed.

Thanks to painstaking work by Samaritans, Network Rail and the British Transport Police, we know a little bit about the sort of people who kill themselves in this way. They tend to be men, 90% are white, and there is a peak around 30-50 years of age. Only 21% were in full-time employment. They worked mainly in heavy manual jobs. Forty-two percent had a history of mental health problems.

In January 2010, Samaritans and Network Rail launched a five-year joint partnership to reduce suicides on the railways. One key element of the initiative was an ad campaign aimed at reaching the sort of man in his 30s, 40s or 50s who fit the rail suicide profile.

Since 63% of those who had died by suicide last year did so away from stations, the campaign had to work within the local community – reaching these men long before they made their final journey to the railway track. We had also found out that the railway suicide profile mirrored that of the person most likely to take their own life by any method. Therefore Network Rail accepted their wider corporate social responsibility role and allowed Samaritans to broaden the campaign beyond the station environment.

The ad campaign needed to get more of these men to call Samaritans and to start talking. Anecdotally it was believed that the target audience for the ads would probably be very resistant to calling Samaritans or, for that matter, any form of discussing their problems or emotions openly. This meant that any advertising would have to be very careful in the way it sought to engage with these men. The campaign wouldn’t have a big media spend behind it, so it also had to be very hard-hitting.

Working closely with Samaritans, their creative agency Arthur London, and Samaritans’ Trustee, Stephen Platt, Professor of Health Policy Research at Edinburgh University, we identified key areas where we might find the sort of men who fit the profile:

  • the Pollok estate in Glasgow
  • the area around the former Redcar Steelworks in Middleborough
  • Romford in the east of London
  • Solihull in the Midlands.

Our intention was to talk to these men, trying to understand a little bit about their lives and carefully exploring how they reacted to the planned advertising and how they thought it would go down in their local communities. In our first round of research, we selected Glasgow and Middleborough, speaking to a total of 10 men (five per location).

Data from the British Transport Police (BTP) also indicated that many men who killed themselves on the railways had previously been picked up by the BTP for trespassing on Network Rail property. This indicated that BTP officers would

   Download a copy of the full report here!

afghanistan

Social Science Research and Field Work in Afghanistan

Many researchers around the world were shocked and appalled when Rafiq Ullah Kakar presented the case study on doing research in Afghanistan below. This article appeared in Research World in September 2012 further increasing the call from the industry to put a mechanism in place that could help the families of researchers facing these kinds of circumstances. In a sense this was the beginning of the ESOMAR Foundation.
Social Science Research and Field Work in Afghanistan
Danger, Courage and Creativity
By Rafiq Ullah Kakar

Afghanistan has faced continuous conflict, occupation and civil war since 1979. The aftermath has deeply affected the socio-political dynamics of the country. In this article we try to understand the meaning and nature of that everyday violence; investigate dangers in field work; highlight real-life examples of courage and creativity in the field, and explore how those can offer hope for a better future in this war-weary country.

Dangers in the Field

The security situation in Afghanistan is unstable and volatile. This causes many problems in the field. Access to participants and protecting researchers have been the main concerns of ORCA, the Opinion Research Center of Afghanistan. Gaining access to reliable and consistent data is difficult, due both to the complexity of the current political situation, and the reality of a mobile, displaced population. Nonetheless, researchers are trusted and well received by the community. Afghan hospitality ensures a guest is welcomed, and researchers are often local and known by  community elders and tribal leaders.

But recruiting researchers from within the community, and thereby building trust and reputation, take time and effort, expended in the face of constant threats of violence at the hands of the Taliban and other insurgent groups.

ORCA’s staff is well versed in these realities, and trained to counter any problems that might arise in the field. Still, in the last few years, the security situation has become worse, and ORCA’S field staff and monitoring supervisors have come under increasing threat. To date, a total of 91 armed attacks have taken place; these have resulted in 50 kidnappings, physical injury to 153 people, and the killing of 16 field staff. Additionally, there has been a rise in the number of physical harassments, warnings and beatings – they are now almost routine for the field team.

afghanistan

Table 2: Threats to ORCA Field Workers

The Sociopolitical Context in Afghanistan Today

The Taliban is still a viable political force in many parts of Afghanistan. During the mid 1990s, they institutionalised violence in the sociopolitical order. Afghans are somewhat familiar with violence, but never before had violence been used as a tool to abuse, punish and coerce ordinary citizens. The revival of the Taliban is a very dangerous prospect, not only for the future of research, but for the future of the country as well.

This article is about ORCA field workers who were lost due to Taliban attacks. As such, exploring the space that the Taliban occupies in the current sociopolitical context of Afghanistan is essential. According to the 2011 ORCA Nationwide Survey (N= 8,250), 47% of respondents reported that security issues like terrorism, suicide bombings and explosions are major problems in Afghanistan.

Table 3: The Most Important Problems in Afghanistan

Respondents varied in their perceptions of personal safety. More than half of the population feared for their personal safety, with 58% saying they often feared for their lives, and 27% saying they sometimes feared for their personal safety (or that of their families).

Table 4: Fear for Personal Safety

Courage and Bravery in the Field

Given the prevalence of violence in Afghanistan currently, fieldwork poses immense dangers. Following are two case studies:

Case Study 1, Kandahar Province

In 2010, armed insurgents from the Taliban killed Hosay Sahibzada, a brave 19-year-old ORCA interviewer from Kandahar. Ms. Sahibzada was known for her commitment to public opinion polling, and was one of the best interviewers ORCA had in Kandahar city. The Taliban had already warned her twice not to work for ORCA, but she continued with her work undeterred. On April 14,2010, the Taliban stopped the vehicle she was travelling in and killed her on the main road in the 2nd Nahia of Kandahar City. She died for a better future for Afghanistan.

Case Study 2, Baghlan Province

Hashmat Ullah received the ORCA “Best Field Supervisor of the Year” award on April 22, 2010.  He participated in a briefing session at ORCA HQ on Aug. 26, 2010, and left for his province the following day. He conducted a training session for his interviewers and launched field work on Aug. 28th. On the same afternoon, he was killed by the Taliban. They had warned him to stop doing research (the Taliban perceive doing research as spying for the Americans). Hundreds of people, including ORCA representatives, attended his funeral. He was buried at the age of 32, in front of his home, on Aug. 29, 2010.

Author

Rafiq Ullah Kakar is co-founder of ORCA in Afghanistan

The Opinion Research Center of Afghanistan (ORCA) was established in 2007. It strives to establish a culture of research in a country that has gone through prolonged conflict, factional fighting and trauma.